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Gute vs Kungsängen Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand - 15 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 14:00

Gute

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Kungsängen

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.51 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.9%0-17.4%0-24.0%0-31.4%0-4+0.5%1 1-011.0%1-111.9%1-26.4%1-32.3%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.8%2-19.5%2-25.1%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.7%3-15.0%3-22.7%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-12.9%4+-21.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.7% — — —

Draw 24.4% — — —

Away win 26.9% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 49.4% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -6.4%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.4%

H 49% / xG 1.6-1.1 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 1–0 11.0%

#4 2–0 8.8%

#5 0–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gute1.6

Kungsängen1.1

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

GUTE · PPG 1.33

KUNGSÄNGEN · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.51 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Gute (H) 48.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kungsängen (A) 26.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gute face Kungsängen in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gute a 49% chance, the draw 24% and Kungsängen 27%, so Gute are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Gute and 1.1 for Kungsängen (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gute are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.67 for Kungsängen.

Gute vs Kungsängen Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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