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Skiljebo vs Falu BS Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand - 15 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 14:00

Skiljebo

PPG 2.14 · HOME

UPCOMING

Falu BS

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.43 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.6%0-17.5%0-24.3%0-31.7%0-4+0.6%1 1-010.3%1-111.9%1-26.8%1-32.6%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.1%2-19.3%2-25.4%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-04.3%3-14.9%3-22.8%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-12.7%4+-21.6%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.4% — — —

Draw 24.5% — — —

Away win 27.1% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 48.0% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -6.4%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.4%

H 48% / xG 1.6-1.1 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–0 10.3%

#4 0–0 6.6%

#5 2–0 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Skiljebo1.6

Falu BS1.1

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SKILJEBO · PPG 2.14

FALU BS · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.43 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Skiljebo (H) 48.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Falu BS (A) 27.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Skiljebo face Falu BS in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Skiljebo a 48% chance, the draw 25% and Falu BS 27%, so Skiljebo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Skiljebo and 1.1 for Falu BS (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Skiljebo are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 1.57 for Falu BS.

Skiljebo vs Falu BS Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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