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Sutherland Sharks U20 vs Wollongong Wolves U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Regular Season - 26 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 08:15

Sutherland Sharks U20

PPG 1.27 · HOME

UPCOMING

Wollongong Wolves U20

PPG 1.54 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-14.8%0-23.9%0-32.2%0-4+1.3%1 1-05.5%1-19.1%1-27.5%1-34.1%1-4+2.4%2 2-05.2%2-18.6%2-27.0%2-33.9%2-4+2.3%3 3-03.3%3-15.4%3-24.4%3-32.4%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-13.9%4+-23.2%4+-31.8%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.0% — — —

Draw 22.2% — — —

Away win 28.8% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 44.8% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 53.6% — — —

Away O1.5 48.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 38%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.5%

H 49% / xG 1.9-1.6 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.1%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 1–2 7.5%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 3–1 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sutherland Sharks U201.9

Wollongong Wolves U201.6

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SUTHERLAND SHARKS U20 · PPG 1.27

WOLLONGONG WOLVES U20 · PPG 1.54

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.24 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sutherland Sharks U20 (H) 49.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Wollongong Wolves U20 (A) 28.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sutherland Sharks U20 face Wollongong Wolves U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sutherland Sharks U20 a 49% chance, the draw 22% and Wollongong Wolves U20 29%, so Sutherland Sharks U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Sutherland Sharks U20 and 1.6 for Wollongong Wolves U20 (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sutherland Sharks U20 are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 1.54 for Wollongong Wolves U20.

Sutherland Sharks U20 vs Wollongong Wolves U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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