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WS Wanderers U20 vs UNSW U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Regular Season - 26 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 07:00

WS Wanderers U20

PPG 0.85 · HOME

UPCOMING

UNSW U20

PPG 0.92 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-12.4%0-22.4%0-31.7%0-4+1.4%1 1-02.8%1-15.7%1-25.9%1-34.0%1-4+3.4%2 2-03.3%2-16.8%2-27.1%2-34.9%2-4+4.0%3 3-02.7%3-15.5%3-25.7%3-33.9%3-4+3.2%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-15.8%4+-26.0%4+-34.1%4+-4+3.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.8% — — —

Draw 21.6% — — —

Away win 33.6% — — —

Over 2.5 72.7% — — —

Over 3.5 53.3% — — —

BTTS 70.3% — — —

Home O1.5 60.1% — — —

Away O1.5 50.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 38%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 57%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob70.3%

H 45% / xG 2.4-2.1 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 7.1%

#2 2–1 6.8%

#3 1–1 5.7%

#4 1–2 5.9%

#5 3–2 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

WS Wanderers U202.4

UNSW U202.1

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 53.3%

Form & verdict PPG

WS WANDERERS U20 · PPG 0.85

UNSW U20 · PPG 0.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.34 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

WS Wanderers U20 (H) 44.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

UNSW U20 (A) 33.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

WS Wanderers U20 face UNSW U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives WS Wanderers U20 a 45% chance, the draw 22% and UNSW U20 34%, so WS Wanderers U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for WS Wanderers U20 and 2.1 for UNSW U20 (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, WS Wanderers U20 are averaging 0.85 points per game versus 0.92 for UNSW U20.

WS Wanderers U20 vs UNSW U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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