Today / Australia - Npl Nsw U20 / NWS Spirit U20 vs WS Wanderers U20

NWS Spirit U20 vs WS Wanderers U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Regular Season - 25 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 09:45

NWS Spirit U20 logo
NWS Spirit U20
PPG 1.83 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
WS Wanderers U20 logo
WS Wanderers U20
PPG 1.64 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-12.0%0-21.5%0-30.8%0-4+0.4%1 1-03.6%1-15.6%1-24.2%1-32.2%1-4+1.2%2 2-05.2%2-17.9%2-26.0%2-33.0%2-4+1.6%3 3-04.8%3-17.4%3-25.6%3-32.9%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-06.8%4+-110.4%4+-27.9%4+-34.0%4+-4+2.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 64.1%
Draw 16.6%
Away win 19.3%
Over 2.5 72.6%
Over 3.5 52.0%
BTTS 64.5%
Home O1.5 69.8%
Away O1.5 49.0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 69%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.8 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob64.5%

H 64% / xG 2.8-1.5 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.9%
#2 3–1 7.4%
#3 1–1 5.6%
#4 2–2 6.0%
#5 3–2 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

NWS Spirit U202.8
WS Wanderers U201.5

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.6% · O3.5 PROB 52.0%

Form & verdict PPG

NWS SPIRIT U20 · PPG 1.83

WS WANDERERS U20 · PPG 1.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.30 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

NWS Spirit U20 (H) 64.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 16.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
WS Wanderers U20 (A) 19.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

NWS Spirit U20 face WS Wanderers U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives NWS Spirit U20 a 64% chance, the draw 17% and WS Wanderers U20 19%, so NWS Spirit U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for NWS Spirit U20 and 1.5 for WS Wanderers U20 (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, NWS Spirit U20 are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.64 for WS Wanderers U20.

PredictVantage

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