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St George Saints U20 vs SD Raiders U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Regular Season - 26 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 06:30

St George Saints U20

PPG 0.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

SD Raiders U20

PPG 1.09 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 67.0% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-14.8%0-24.8%0-33.1%0-4+2.4%1 1-04.3%1-18.4%1-28.3%1-35.4%1-4+4.2%2 2-03.7%2-17.3%2-27.2%2-34.7%2-4+3.6%3 3-02.1%3-14.2%3-24.2%3-32.7%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.7%4+-22.7%4+-31.7%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.1% 34.5% 2.90 +13.4%

Draw 21.7% 25.0% 4.00 -7.9%

Away win 39.2% 52.4% 1.91 -25.1%

Over 2.5 67.0% 73.5% 1.36 -8.9%

Over 3.5 44.8% 52.4% 1.91 -14.4%

BTTS 63.5% 74.6% 1.34 -14.9%

Home O1.5 49.4% 51.8% 1.93 -4.7%

Away O1.5 50.0% 63.7% 1.57 -21.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 38%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 53%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob63.5%

A 39% / xG 1.7-2.0 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.4%

#2 1–2 8.3%

#3 2–1 7.3%

#4 2–2 7.2%

#5 1–3 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

St George Saints U201.7

SD Raiders U202.0

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ST GEORGE SAINTS U20 · PPG 0.67

SD RAIDERS U20 · PPG 1.09

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.23 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

St George Saints U20 (H) 39.1%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +13.4%

Draw 21.7%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -7.9%

SD Raiders U20 (A) 39.2%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -25.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

St George Saints U20 face SD Raiders U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives St George Saints U20 a 39% chance, the draw 22% and SD Raiders U20 39%, so SD Raiders U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for St George Saints U20 and 2.0 for SD Raiders U20 (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, St George Saints U20 are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 1.09 for SD Raiders U20.

St George Saints U20 vs SD Raiders U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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