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Wollongong Wolves U20 vs Blacktown City U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Regular Season - 25 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 03:00

Wollongong Wolves U20

PPG 1.64 · HOME

UPCOMING

Blacktown City U20

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-12.5%0-21.7%0-30.7%0-4+0.3%1 1-05.1%1-16.7%1-24.4%1-31.9%1-4+0.8%2 2-06.7%2-18.8%2-25.8%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.9%3-17.7%3-25.1%3-32.2%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-07.3%4+-19.6%4+-26.3%4+-32.8%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.9% — — —

Draw 19.8% — — —

Away win 19.3% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 48.7% — — —

BTTS 64.1% — — —

Home O1.5 63.3% — — —

Away O1.5 41.3% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 74%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob64.1%

H 61% / xG 2.6-1.3 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.8%

#2 3–1 7.7%

#3 1–1 6.7%

#4 2–0 6.7%

#5 3–0 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wollongong Wolves U202.6

Blacktown City U201.3

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 48.7%

Form & verdict PPG

WOLLONGONG WOLVES U20 · PPG 1.64

BLACKTOWN CITY U20 · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.32 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Wollongong Wolves U20 (H) 60.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Blacktown City U20 (A) 19.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wollongong Wolves U20 face Blacktown City U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wollongong Wolves U20 a 61% chance, the draw 20% and Blacktown City U20 19%, so Wollongong Wolves U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Wollongong Wolves U20 and 1.3 for Blacktown City U20 (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wollongong Wolves U20 are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.08 for Blacktown City U20.

Wollongong Wolves U20 vs Blacktown City U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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