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St. George City U20 vs Sydney Utd U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Regular Season - 25 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 07:00

St. George City U20

PPG 1.08 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sydney Utd U20

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.6%0-12.1%0-23.5%0-33.8%0-4+7.2%1 1-01.1%1-13.7%1-26.1%1-36.7%1-4+12.7%2 2-01.0%2-13.3%2-25.4%2-35.9%2-4+11.2%3 3-00.6%3-11.9%3-23.1%3-33.4%3-4+6.5%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-11.2%4+-22.1%4+-32.3%4+-4+4.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.2% — — —

Draw 17.0% — — —

Away win 55.9% — — —

Over 2.5 78.4% — — —

Over 3.5 53.4% — — —

BTTS 69.5% — — —

Home O1.5 53.5% — — —

Away O1.5 75.5% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 71%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)3.3 BTTS prob69.5%

A 56% / xG 1.8-3.3 / O2.5 78% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 6.7%

#2 1–2 6.1%

#3 2–3 5.9%

#4 1–4 5.5%

#5 2–2 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

St. George City U201.8

Sydney Utd U203.3

COMBINED 5.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.4% · O3.5 PROB 53.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ST. GEORGE CITY U20 · PPG 1.08

SYDNEY UTD U20 · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -1.54 for Away, form 1.08 vs 2.00

Win probability 1X2

St. George City U20 (H) 27.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sydney Utd U20 (A) 55.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

St. George City U20 face Sydney Utd U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives St. George City U20 a 27% chance, the draw 17% and Sydney Utd U20 56%, so Sydney Utd U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for St. George City U20 and 3.3 for Sydney Utd U20 (5.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, St. George City U20 are averaging 1.08 points per game versus 2.00 for Sydney Utd U20.

St. George City U20 vs Sydney Utd U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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