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Rockdale Ilinden U20 vs Sutherland Sharks U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Regular Season - 25 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 03:00

Rockdale Ilinden U20

PPG 1.45 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sutherland Sharks U20

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-16.2%0-25.2%0-32.9%0-4+1.8%1 1-06.0%1-110.1%1-28.4%1-34.7%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.9%2-18.1%2-26.8%2-33.8%2-4+2.3%3 3-02.6%3-14.4%3-23.7%3-32.1%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-12.5%4+-22.1%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.4% — — —

Draw 22.1% — — —

Away win 33.5% — — —

Over 2.5 63.7% — — —

Over 3.5 41.3% — — —

BTTS 62.9% — — —

Home O1.5 53.5% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob62.9%

H 44% / xG 1.6-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%

#2 1–2 8.4%

#3 2–1 8.1%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 0–0 3.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rockdale Ilinden U201.6

Sutherland Sharks U201.7

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 41.3%

Form & verdict PPG

ROCKDALE ILINDEN U20 · PPG 1.45

SUTHERLAND SHARKS U20 · PPG 1.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.06 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Rockdale Ilinden U20 (H) 44.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sutherland Sharks U20 (A) 33.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rockdale Ilinden U20 face Sutherland Sharks U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rockdale Ilinden U20 a 44% chance, the draw 22% and Sutherland Sharks U20 34%, so Rockdale Ilinden U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Rockdale Ilinden U20 and 1.7 for Sutherland Sharks U20 (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rockdale Ilinden U20 are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 1.31 for Sutherland Sharks U20.

Rockdale Ilinden U20 vs Sutherland Sharks U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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