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St George Saints U20 vs Sydney FC U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Regular Season - 25 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 06:30

St George Saints U20

PPG 0.73 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sydney FC U20

PPG 1.45 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-14.0%0-25.2%0-34.5%0-4+5.6%1 1-02.4%1-16.2%1-28.2%1-37.1%1-4+8.7%2 2-01.9%2-14.9%2-26.4%2-35.6%2-4+6.9%3 3-01.0%3-12.6%3-23.4%3-32.9%3-4+3.6%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-11.4%4+-21.9%4+-31.6%4+-4+2.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.2% — — —

Draw 19.7% — — —

Away win 53.1% — — —

Over 2.5 72.6% — — —

Over 3.5 52.0% — — —

BTTS 69.5% — — —

Home O1.5 49.2% — — —

Away O1.5 67.0% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 59%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob69.5%

A 53% / xG 1.6-2.6 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.2%

#2 1–1 6.2%

#3 1–3 7.1%

#4 2–2 6.4%

#5 2–3 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

St George Saints U201.6

Sydney FC U202.6

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.6% · O3.5 PROB 52.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ST GEORGE SAINTS U20 · PPG 0.73

SYDNEY FC U20 · PPG 1.45

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.04 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

St George Saints U20 (H) 27.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sydney FC U20 (A) 53.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

St George Saints U20 face Sydney FC U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives St George Saints U20 a 27% chance, the draw 20% and Sydney FC U20 53%, so Sydney FC U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for St George Saints U20 and 2.6 for Sydney FC U20 (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, St George Saints U20 are averaging 0.73 points per game versus 1.45 for Sydney FC U20.

St George Saints U20 vs Sydney FC U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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