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APIA Leichhardt U20 vs UNSW U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Regular Season - 25 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 05:30

APIA Leichhardt U20

PPG 2.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

UNSW U20

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.49 for Home, form 2.75 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-11.2%0-20.6%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-04.2%1-14.0%1-21.9%1-30.6%1-4+0.2%2 2-07.2%2-16.9%2-23.3%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.3%3-18.0%3-23.8%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-017.3%4+-116.6%4+-28.0%4+-32.6%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 71.6% — — —

Draw 18.2% — — —

Away win 10.2% — — —

Over 2.5 72.6% — — —

Over 3.5 49.8% — — —

BTTS 60.2% — — —

Home O1.5 77.3% — — —

Away O1.5 29.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 71%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob60.2%

H 72% / xG 3.4-1.0 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 8.3%

#2 3–1 8.0%

#3 2–0 7.2%

#4 4–0 7.2%

#5 2–1 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

APIA Leichhardt U203.4

UNSW U201.0

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.6% · O3.5 PROB 49.8%

Form & verdict PPG

APIA LEICHHARDT U20 · PPG 2.75

UNSW U20 · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.49 for Home, form 2.75 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

APIA Leichhardt U20 (H) 71.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

UNSW U20 (A) 10.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

APIA Leichhardt U20 face UNSW U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives APIA Leichhardt U20 a 72% chance, the draw 18% and UNSW U20 10%, so APIA Leichhardt U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.4 for APIA Leichhardt U20 and 1.0 for UNSW U20 (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, APIA Leichhardt U20 are averaging 2.75 points per game versus 1.00 for UNSW U20.

APIA Leichhardt U20 vs UNSW U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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