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Manly Utd U20 vs Sydney Olympic U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Regular Season - 25 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 07:30

Manly Utd U20

PPG 2.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sydney Olympic U20

PPG 0.15 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.79 for Home, form 2.17 vs 0.15 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-10.9%0-20.4%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-03.7%1-13.4%1-21.5%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-06.9%2-16.2%2-22.8%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-08.5%3-17.6%3-23.5%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-020.4%4+-118.5%4+-28.3%4+-32.5%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 69.5% — — —

Draw 17.7% — — —

Away win 12.8% — — —

Over 2.5 72.6% — — —

Over 3.5 51.9% — — —

BTTS 57.0% — — —

Home O1.5 77.5% — — —

Away O1.5 24.7% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 69%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob57.0%

H 70% / xG 3.7-0.9 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 8.5%

#2 4–0 7.8%

#3 3–1 7.6%

#4 4–1 7.1%

#5 2–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Manly Utd U203.7

Sydney Olympic U200.9

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.6% · O3.5 PROB 51.9%

Form & verdict PPG

MANLY UTD U20 · PPG 2.17

SYDNEY OLYMPIC U20 · PPG 0.15

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.79 for Home, form 2.17 vs 0.15 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Manly Utd U20 (H) 69.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sydney Olympic U20 (A) 12.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Manly Utd U20 face Sydney Olympic U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Manly Utd U20 a 70% chance, the draw 18% and Sydney Olympic U20 13%, so Manly Utd U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.7 for Manly Utd U20 and 0.9 for Sydney Olympic U20 (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Manly Utd U20 are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 0.15 for Sydney Olympic U20.