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Quinns FC vs Inglewood United Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 07:00

Quinns FC

PPG 1.43 · HOME

UPCOMING

Inglewood United

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.12, combined xG 2.28 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.2%0-111.0%0-26.0%0-32.1%0-4+0.7%1 1-012.3%1-113.3%1-27.2%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.4%2-18.0%2-24.3%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.9%3-13.2%3-21.7%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.2%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.5% — — —

Draw 26.6% — — —

Away win 27.9% — — —

Over 2.5 50.4% — — —

Over 3.5 28.9% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 33.0% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 48%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.6%

H 46% / xG 1.2-1.1 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 10.2%

#3 1–0 12.3%

#4 0–1 11.0%

#5 2–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Quinns FC1.2

Inglewood United1.1

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

QUINNS FC · PPG 1.43

INGLEWOOD UNITED · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.12, combined xG 2.28 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Quinns FC (H) 45.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Inglewood United (A) 27.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Quinns FC face Inglewood United in Australia - Western Australia State League 1 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Quinns FC a 46% chance, the draw 27% and Inglewood United 28%, so Quinns FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Quinns FC and 1.1 for Inglewood United (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Quinns FC are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 1.38 for Inglewood United.

Quinns FC vs Inglewood United Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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