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West Adelaide vs Para Hills Knights Prediction— Australia - NPL South Australia

Regular Season - 20 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 05:30

West Adelaide

PPG 1.22 · HOME

UPCOMING

Para Hills Knights

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +4.67 for Home, form 1.22 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.2%0-10.2%0-20.1%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-01.1%1-10.9%1-20.3%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-03.1%2-12.3%2-20.9%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-05.6%3-14.2%3-21.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-037.2%4+-127.9%4+-210.5%4+-32.6%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 80.8% — — —

Draw 11.6% — — —

Away win 7.6% — — —

Over 2.5 80.6% — — —

Over 3.5 69.0% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 77.8% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)5.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob55.4%

H 81% / xG 5.4-0.8 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 5–0 8.2%

#2 4–0 7.5%

#3 5–1 6.1%

#4 4–1 5.6%

#5 3–0 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

West Adelaide5.4

Para Hills Knights0.8

COMBINED 6.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.6% · O3.5 PROB 69.0%

Form & verdict PPG

WEST ADELAIDE · PPG 1.22

PARA HILLS KNIGHTS · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +4.67 for Home, form 1.22 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

West Adelaide (H) 80.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 11.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Para Hills Knights (A) 7.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

West Adelaide face Para Hills Knights in Australia - NPL South Australia on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives West Adelaide a 81% chance, the draw 12% and Para Hills Knights 8%, so West Adelaide are favoured to win. Expected goals are 5.4 for West Adelaide and 0.8 for Para Hills Knights (6.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 5-0. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, West Adelaide are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 0.00 for Para Hills Knights.

West Adelaide vs Para Hills Knights Prediction— Australia - NPL South Australia

Match Preview & Prediction

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