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Belconnen United vs Cooma Tigers FC Prediction— Australia - NPL Capital Territory

Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 05:00

Belconnen United

PPG 0.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Cooma Tigers FC

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

xG gap -1.27 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-17.3%0-28.6%0-36.8%0-4+7.1%1 1-03.4%1-18.1%1-29.6%1-37.6%1-4+7.9%2 2-01.9%2-14.5%2-25.3%2-34.2%2-4+4.4%3 3-00.7%3-11.7%3-22.0%3-31.6%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.6%4+-20.7%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 17.0% — — —

Draw 22.5% — — —

Away win 60.5% — — —

Over 2.5 63.6% — — —

Over 3.5 40.6% — — —

BTTS 60.2% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 67.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 70%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 32%

ROI 5.3%

Bet Hit 77%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 60%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob60.2%

A 60% / xG 1.1-2.4 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.6%

#2 1–1 8.1%

#3 0–2 8.6%

#4 1–3 7.6%

#5 0–3 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Belconnen United1.1

Cooma Tigers FC2.4

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 40.6%

Form & verdict PPG

BELCONNEN UNITED · PPG 0.50

COOMA TIGERS FC · PPG 1.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.27 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Belconnen United (H) 17.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Cooma Tigers FC (A) 60.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Belconnen United face Cooma Tigers FC in Australia - NPL Capital Territory on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Belconnen United a 17% chance, the draw 23% and Cooma Tigers FC 61%, so Cooma Tigers FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Belconnen United and 2.4 for Cooma Tigers FC (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Belconnen United are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.71 for Cooma Tigers FC.

Belconnen United vs Cooma Tigers FC Prediction— Australia - NPL Capital Territory

Match Preview & Prediction

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