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Queanbeyan City vs Brindabella Prediction— Australia - NPL Capital Territory

Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 05:00

Queanbeyan City

PPG 2.14 · HOME

UPCOMING

Brindabella

PPG 0.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 77.1% vs bookmaker-implied 81.3%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-11.4%0-20.5%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-06.6%1-14.6%1-21.6%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-010.5%2-17.3%2-22.5%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.2%3-17.7%3-22.7%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-019.8%4+-113.7%4+-24.7%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 71.0% 73.5% 1.36 -3.4%

Draw 17.2% 21.1% 4.75 -11.0%

Away win 11.8% 17.4% 5.75 -19.3%

Over 2.5 67.0% 73.5% 1.36 -8.9%

Over 3.5 47.7% 56.2% 1.78 -15.1%

BTTS 55.4% 65.8% 1.52 -15.8%

Home O1.5 77.1% 81.3% 1.23 -5.2%

Away O1.5 20.3% 32.3% 3.10 -22.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 70%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 32%

ROI 5.3%

Bet Hit 77%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 71%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.2 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob55.4%

H 71% / xG 3.2-0.7 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 11.2%

#2 2–0 10.5%

#3 4–0 8.9%

#4 3–1 7.7%

#5 2–1 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Queanbeyan City3.2

Brindabella0.7

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 47.7%

Form & verdict PPG

QUEANBEYAN CITY · PPG 2.14

BRINDABELLA · PPG 0.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.50 for Home, form 2.14 vs 0.38 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Queanbeyan City (H) 71.0%

ODDS 1.36 · IMPLIED 73.5% EV -3.4%

Draw 17.2%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV -11.0%

Brindabella (A) 11.8%

ODDS 5.75 · IMPLIED 17.4% EV -19.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Queanbeyan City face Brindabella in Australia - NPL Capital Territory on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Queanbeyan City a 71% chance, the draw 17% and Brindabella 12%, so Queanbeyan City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for Queanbeyan City and 0.7 for Brindabella (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Queanbeyan City are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 0.38 for Brindabella.

Queanbeyan City vs Brindabella Prediction— Australia - NPL Capital Territory

Match Preview & Prediction

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