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Příbram vs Opava Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 2 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 16:00

Příbram

PPG 1.61 · HOME

UPCOMING

Opava

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.8%0-111.4%0-26.6%0-32.6%0-4+1.0%1 1-011.4%1-113.2%1-27.7%1-33.0%1-4+1.1%2 2-06.6%2-17.7%2-24.5%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-02.6%3-13.0%3-21.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.1%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.7% 42.9% 2.33 -12.2%

Draw 27.9% 32.3% 3.10 -8.1%

Away win 34.4% 35.1% 2.85 -2.0%

Over 2.5 50.4% 50.0% 2.00 +0.8%

Over 3.5 28.9% 28.6% 3.50 +0.7%

BTTS 52.6% 57.8% 1.73 -9.0%

Home O1.5 32.6% 43.5% 2.30 -25.0%

Away O1.5 36.5% 38.2% 2.62 -4.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -1.8%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 20%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.6%

H 38% / xG 1.2-1.2 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 9.8%

#3 1–0 11.4%

#4 0–1 11.4%

#5 2–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Příbram1.2

Opava1.2

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

PŘÍBRAM · PPG 1.61

OPAVA · PPG 1.17

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.00, combined xG 2.32 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Příbram (H) 37.7%

ODDS 2.33 · IMPLIED 42.9% EV -12.2%

Draw 27.9%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -8.1%

Opava (A) 34.4%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV -2.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Příbram face Opava in Czech-Republic - FNL on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Příbram a 38% chance, the draw 28% and Opava 34%, so Příbram are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Příbram and 1.2 for Opava (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Příbram are averaging 1.61 points per game versus 1.17 for Opava. The best value bet our model finds is BTTS/O25, with an expected value of +4.0%.

Příbram vs Opava Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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