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Chrudim vs Artis Brno Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 30 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 12:00

Chrudim

PPG 1.36 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Artis Brno

PPG 1.93 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-19.8%0-28.3%0-34.7%0-4+2.9%1 1-06.7%1-111.3%1-29.6%1-35.4%1-4+3.3%2 2-03.9%2-16.6%2-25.5%2-33.1%2-4+1.9%3 3-01.5%3-12.5%3-22.1%3-31.2%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.9%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.3% 23.1% 4.33 +13.5%

Draw 26.4% 27.0% 3.70 -1.4%

Away win 45.3% 59.5% 1.68 -23.9%

Over 2.5 53.9% 59.9% 1.67 -10.0%

Over 3.5 31.9% 37.0% 2.70 -13.9%

BTTS 54.6% 61.7% 1.62 -11.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob54.6%

A 45% / xG 1.2-1.7 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 1–2 9.6%

#3 0–2 8.3%

#4 0–1 9.8%

#5 0–0 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Chrudim1.2

Artis Brno1.7

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 31.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CHRUDIM · PPG 1.36

ARTIS BRNO · PPG 1.93

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.93) vs Home AVERAGE (1.36)

Win probability 1X2

Chrudim (H) 28.3%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV +13.5%

Draw 26.4%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -1.4%

Artis Brno (A) 45.3%

ODDS 1.68 · IMPLIED 59.5% EV -23.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Chrudim face Artis Brno in Czech-Republic - FNL on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chrudim a 28% chance, the draw 26% and Artis Brno 45%, so Artis Brno are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Chrudim and 1.7 for Artis Brno (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chrudim are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.93 for Artis Brno. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +13.5%. This match finished 2-1.

Chrudim vs Artis Brno Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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