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Jihlava vs Usti nad Labem Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 30 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 12:00

Jihlava

PPG 1.00 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Usti nad Labem

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.6% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.1%0-110.1%0-27.2%0-33.4%0-4+1.7%1 1-08.6%1-112.3%1-28.8%1-34.2%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.3%2-17.5%2-25.4%2-32.6%2-4+1.2%3 3-02.2%3-13.1%3-22.2%3-31.0%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.2%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.8% 59.5% 1.68 -39.9%

Draw 26.7% 26.0% 3.85 +1.7%

Away win 37.5% 24.4% 4.10 +53.8%

Over 2.5 52.6% 61.7% 1.62 -14.8%

Over 3.5 27.5% 39.2% 2.55 -17.9%

BTTS 53.6% 63.7% 1.57 -15.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob53.6%

A 38% / xG 1.2-1.4 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 0–0 7.1%

#3 1–2 8.8%

#4 0–1 10.1%

#5 2–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jihlava1.2

Usti nad Labem1.4

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 27.5%

Form & verdict PPG

JIHLAVA · PPG 1.00

USTI NAD LABEM · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Jihlava (H) 35.8%

ODDS 1.68 · IMPLIED 59.5% EV -39.9%

Draw 26.7%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV +1.7%

Usti nad Labem (A) 37.5%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +53.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Jihlava face Usti nad Labem in Czech-Republic - FNL on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jihlava a 36% chance, the draw 27% and Usti nad Labem 38%, so Usti nad Labem are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Jihlava and 1.4 for Usti nad Labem (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jihlava are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.29 for Usti nad Labem. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +53.8%. This match finished 3-1.

Jihlava vs Usti nad Labem Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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