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Hanácká vs Ústí nad Labem Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 2 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 16:00

Hanácká

PPG 1.23 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ústí nad Labem

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-110.1%0-25.8%0-32.2%0-4+0.8%1 1-011.3%1-113.0%1-27.4%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.3%2-18.3%2-24.8%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.1%3-13.6%3-22.0%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.5%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.6% 44.4% 2.25 -4.2%

Draw 27.4% 29.9% 3.35 -4.9%

Away win 29.9% 35.1% 2.85 -8.9%

Over 2.5 50.4% 57.1% 1.75 -11.8%

Over 3.5 28.9% 35.7% 2.80 -11.5%

BTTS 52.6% 63.7% 1.57 -17.4%

Home O1.5 37.4% 50.0% 2.00 -25.2%

Away O1.5 36.5% 42.6% 2.35 -14.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -1.8%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 20%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.6%

H 43% / xG 1.3-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 8.8%

#3 1–0 11.3%

#4 2–1 8.3%

#5 0–1 10.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hanácká1.3

Ústí nad Labem1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

HANÁCKÁ · PPG 1.23

ÚSTÍ NAD LABEM · PPG 1.30

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.14, combined xG 2.43 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Hanácká (H) 42.6%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -4.2%

Draw 27.4%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -4.9%

Ústí nad Labem (A) 29.9%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV -8.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hanácká face Ústí nad Labem in Czech-Republic - FNL on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hanácká a 43% chance, the draw 27% and Ústí nad Labem 30%, so Hanácká are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Hanácká and 1.1 for Ústí nad Labem (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hanácká are averaging 1.23 points per game versus 1.30 for Ústí nad Labem.

Hanácká vs Ústí nad Labem Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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