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Viktoria Žižkov vs Prostějov Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 2 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 15:00

Viktoria Žižkov

PPG 1.65 · HOME

UPCOMING

Prostějov

PPG 1.04 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.7%0-19.2%0-24.9%0-31.7%0-4+0.6%1 1-012.1%1-112.8%1-26.7%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.3%2-18.8%2-24.7%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.8%3-14.0%3-22.1%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-11.9%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.9% 48.8% 2.05 -5.9%

Draw 26.8% 29.0% 3.45 -4.5%

Away win 27.4% 32.3% 3.10 -9.0%

Over 2.5 50.4% 56.5% 1.77 -10.8%

Over 3.5 28.9% 33.9% 2.95 -8.8%

BTTS 52.6% 61.7% 1.62 -14.8%

Home O1.5 39.2% 51.3% 1.95 -23.6%

Away O1.5 36.3% 39.2% 2.55 -7.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -1.8%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 22%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.6%

H 46% / xG 1.4-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 8.7%

#3 1–0 12.1%

#4 2–1 8.8%

#5 2–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Viktoria Žižkov1.4

Prostějov1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

VIKTORIA ŽIŽKOV · PPG 1.65

PROSTĚJOV · PPG 1.04

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.32, combined xG 2.44 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Viktoria Žižkov (H) 45.9%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -5.9%

Draw 26.8%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -4.5%

Prostějov (A) 27.4%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -9.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Viktoria Žižkov face Prostějov in Czech-Republic - FNL on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Viktoria Žižkov a 46% chance, the draw 27% and Prostějov 27%, so Viktoria Žižkov are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Viktoria Žižkov and 1.1 for Prostějov (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Viktoria Žižkov are averaging 1.65 points per game versus 1.04 for Prostějov. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +0.9%.

Viktoria Žižkov vs Prostějov Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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