Today / Czech-Republic - FNL / Artis Brno vs Vikto Zizkov

Artis Brno vs Vikto Zizkov Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 29 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 15:00

Artis Brno logo
Artis Brno
PPG 1.57 · HOME
5 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Vikto Zizkov logo
Vikto Zizkov
PPG 1.07 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.1% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-15.8%0-23.3%0-31.3%0-4+0.5%1 1-09.4%1-110.7%1-26.1%1-32.3%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.6%2-19.8%2-25.6%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-05.3%3-16.0%3-23.4%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-14.2%4+-22.4%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 51.6% 71.4% 1.40 -27.8%
Draw 24.0% 23.1% 4.33 +2.4%
Away win 24.3% 14.7% 6.80 +39.1%
Over 2.5 59.1% 63.7% 1.57 -7.2%
Over 3.5 34.7% 40.8% 2.45 -15.0%
BTTS 58.2% 58.8% 1.70 -1.1%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5 57%
BTTS 55%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 10.4%
Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 5-1
xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob58.2%

H 52% / xG 1.8-1.1 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%
#2 2–1 9.8%
#3 2–0 8.6%
#4 1–0 9.4%
#5 0–0 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Artis Brno1.8
Vikto Zizkov1.1

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 34.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ARTIS BRNO · PPG 1.57

VIKTO ZIZKOV · PPG 1.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.57) > Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Win probability 1X2

Artis Brno (H) 51.6%
ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -27.8%
Draw 24.0%
ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV +2.4%
Vikto Zizkov (A) 24.3%
ODDS 6.80 · IMPLIED 14.7% EV +39.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Artis Brno face Vikto Zizkov in Czech-Republic - FNL on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Artis Brno a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Vikto Zizkov 24%, so Artis Brno are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Artis Brno and 1.1 for Vikto Zizkov (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Artis Brno are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.07 for Vikto Zizkov. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +39.1%. This match finished 5-1.

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