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Opava vs Pribram Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 30 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 12:00

Opava logo
Opava
PPG 2.00 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
Pribram logo
Pribram
PPG 1.43 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.6%0-19.9%0-24.2%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.1%1-112.9%1-25.5%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.8%2-18.4%2-23.6%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.3%3-13.7%3-21.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.6%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 47.9% 54.1% 1.85 -11.4%
Draw 27.8% 28.2% 3.55 -0.8%
Away win 24.3% 28.2% 3.55 -8.2%
Over 2.5 46.2% 56.5% 1.77 -18.2%
Over 3.5 17.2% 33.9% 2.95 -29.6%
BTTS 49.1% 59.9% 1.67 -18.0%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5 57%
BTTS 55%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 10.4%
Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.1%

H 48% / xG 1.3-0.9 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%
#2 0–0 11.6%
#3 1–0 15.1%
#4 2–0 9.8%
#5 2–1 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Opava1.3
Pribram0.9

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 17.2%

Form & verdict PPG

OPAVA · PPG 2.00

PRIBRAM · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.43)

Win probability 1X2

Opava (H) 47.9%
ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -11.4%
Draw 27.8%
ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -0.8%
Pribram (A) 24.3%
ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -8.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Opava face Pribram in Czech-Republic - FNL on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Opava a 48% chance, the draw 28% and Pribram 24%, so Opava are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Opava and 0.9 for Pribram (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Opava are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.43 for Pribram. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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