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Zbrojovka Brno vs C. Budejovice Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 30 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 12:00

Zbrojovka Brno

PPG 2.64 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

C. Budejovice

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 61.5% vs bookmaker-implied 78.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.7%0-14.7%0-21.4%0-30.3%0-4+0.0%1 1-015.1%1-19.2%1-22.8%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.7%2-18.9%2-22.7%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-09.6%3-15.8%3-21.8%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-07.3%4+-14.4%4+-21.4%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.5% 78.1% 1.28 -21.3%

Draw 23.3% 21.1% 4.75 +6.4%

Away win 15.2% 11.1% 9.00 +22.1%

Over 2.5 48.4% 65.4% 1.53 -25.9%

Over 3.5 25.5% 43.5% 2.30 -24.8%

BTTS 48.6% 55.6% 1.80 -12.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.6%

H 62% / xG 2.0-0.6 / O2.5 48% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 14.7%

#2 1–0 15.1%

#3 1–1 9.2%

#4 3–0 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zbrojovka Brno2.0

C. Budejovice0.6

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.4% · O3.5 PROB 25.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ZBROJOVKA BRNO · PPG 2.64

C. BUDEJOVICE · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.64) vs P(Home)=61.5%

Win probability 1X2

Zbrojovka Brno (H) 61.5%

ODDS 1.28 · IMPLIED 78.1% EV -21.3%

Draw 23.3%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +6.4%

C. Budejovice (A) 15.2%

ODDS 9.00 · IMPLIED 11.1% EV +22.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Zbrojovka Brno face C. Budejovice in Czech-Republic - FNL on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zbrojovka Brno a 62% chance, the draw 23% and C. Budejovice 15%, so Zbrojovka Brno are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Zbrojovka Brno and 0.6 for C. Budejovice (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zbrojovka Brno are averaging 2.64 points per game versus 1.00 for C. Budejovice. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +22.1%. This match finished 4-1.

Zbrojovka Brno vs C. Budejovice Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - FNL Predictions