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Toronto II vs Columbus Crew II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Group Stage ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 23:00

Toronto II logo
Toronto II
PPG 1.78 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Columbus Crew II logo
Columbus Crew II
PPG 1.09 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-15.0%0-23.9%0-32.0%0-4+1.1%1 1-06.1%1-19.4%1-27.3%1-33.7%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.8%2-18.9%2-26.9%2-33.5%2-4+1.9%3 3-03.6%3-15.6%3-24.3%3-32.2%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-14.1%4+-23.1%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.9%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 46.6%
Draw 22.5%
Away win 30.8%
Over 2.5 65.1%
Over 3.5 42.9%
BTTS 63.5%
Home O1.5 53.6%
Away O1.5 48.0%

League track record

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%
O2.5 79%
BTTS 36%
Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.5%

H 47% / xG 1.9-1.5 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%
#2 2–1 8.9%
#3 1–2 7.3%
#4 2–2 6.9%
#5 2–0 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Toronto II1.9
Columbus Crew II1.5

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.1% · O3.5 PROB 42.9%

Form & verdict PPG

TORONTO II · PPG 1.78

COLUMBUS CREW II · PPG 1.09

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

xG gap +0.34 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Toronto II (H) 46.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Columbus Crew II (A) 30.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Toronto II face Columbus Crew II in USA - MLS Next Pro on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Toronto II a 47% chance, the draw 23% and Columbus Crew II 31%, so Toronto II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Toronto II and 1.5 for Columbus Crew II (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Toronto II are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 1.09 for Columbus Crew II.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org