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Inter Miami II vs Chattanooga Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Group Stage ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 23:00

Inter Miami II logo
Inter Miami II
PPG 0.71 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Chattanooga logo
Chattanooga
PPG 1.11 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-17.6%0-28.0%0-35.6%0-4+4.8%1 1-04.4%1-19.3%1-29.7%1-36.8%1-4+5.8%2 2-02.7%2-15.6%2-25.9%2-34.1%2-4+3.5%3 3-01.1%3-12.3%3-22.4%3-31.7%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.9%4+-20.9%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 23.4%
Draw 21.6%
Away win 55.0%
Over 2.5 63.6%
Over 3.5 40.6%
BTTS 62.1%
Home O1.5 33.1%
Away O1.5 54.5%

League track record

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%
O2.5 79%
BTTS 36%
Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 54%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.2 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob62.1%

A 55% / xG 1.2-2.1 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%
#2 1–2 9.7%
#3 0–2 8.0%
#4 1–3 6.8%
#5 0–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inter Miami II1.2
Chattanooga2.1

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 40.6%

Form & verdict PPG

INTER MIAMI II · PPG 0.71

CHATTANOOGA · PPG 1.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

xG gap -0.89 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Inter Miami II (H) 23.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Chattanooga (A) 55.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Inter Miami II face Chattanooga in USA - MLS Next Pro on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inter Miami II a 23% chance, the draw 22% and Chattanooga 55%, so Chattanooga are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Inter Miami II and 2.1 for Chattanooga (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inter Miami II are averaging 0.71 points per game versus 1.11 for Chattanooga.

PredictVantage

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