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FC Cincinnati II vs New England II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Group Stage ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 23:00

FC Cincinnati II logo
FC Cincinnati II
PPG 1.30 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
New England II logo
New England II
PPG 1.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.34, combined xG 2.29 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.2%0-113.3%0-28.8%0-33.8%0-4+1.7%1 1-09.9%1-113.0%1-28.5%1-33.7%1-4+1.6%2 2-04.8%2-16.3%2-24.2%2-31.8%2-4+0.8%3 3-01.6%3-12.1%3-21.3%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.6%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 30.5%
Draw 26.6%
Away win 42.9%
Over 2.5 50.0%
Over 3.5 28.7%
BTTS 52.3%
Home O1.5 35.0%
Away O1.5 40.9%

League track record

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%
O2.5 75%
BTTS 0%
Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 22%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.3%

A 43% / xG 1.0-1.3 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%
#2 0–0 10.2%
#3 0–1 13.3%
#4 0–2 8.8%
#5 1–2 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Cincinnati II1.0
New England II1.3

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

FC CINCINNATI II · PPG 1.30

NEW ENGLAND II · PPG 1.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...
45%
HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.34, combined xG 2.29 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

FC Cincinnati II (H) 30.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 26.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
New England II (A) 42.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Cincinnati II face New England II in USA - MLS Next Pro on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Cincinnati II a 31% chance, the draw 27% and New England II 43%, so New England II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for FC Cincinnati II and 1.3 for New England II (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Cincinnati II are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 1.83 for New England II.

PredictVantage

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