Today / USA - MLS Next Pro / Connecticut FC vs Columbus Crew II
Connecticut FC vs Columbus Crew II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro
Group Stage ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 22:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 67.0% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 50% / xG 2.1-1.6 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.5%
Form & verdict
CONNECTICUT FC · PPG 1.44
COLUMBUS CREW II · PPG 1.20
xG gap +0.49 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Connecticut FC face Columbus Crew II in USA - MLS Next Pro on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Connecticut FC a 50% chance, the draw 22% and Columbus Crew II 28%, so Connecticut FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Connecticut FC and 1.6 for Columbus Crew II (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Connecticut FC are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.20 for Columbus Crew II. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +8.8%.