Today / USA - MLS Next Pro / Atlanta United II vs Carolina Core
Atlanta United II vs Carolina Core Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro
Group Stage ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 23:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 65% / xG 2.7-1.0 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 60%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%
Form & verdict
ATLANTA UNITED II · PPG 2.22
CAROLINA CORE · PPG 0.30
xG gap +1.70 for Home, form 2.22 vs 0.30 - Strong consensus
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Atlanta United II face Carolina Core in USA - MLS Next Pro on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atlanta United II a 65% chance, the draw 17% and Carolina Core 19%, so Atlanta United II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Atlanta United II and 1.0 for Carolina Core (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atlanta United II are averaging 2.22 points per game versus 0.30 for Carolina Core.