Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 / Lokomotiv Oslo vs Valerenga B

Lokomotiv Oslo vs Valerenga B Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Regular Season - 9 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 12:00

Lokomotiv Oslo

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Valerenga B

PPG 0.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 100.0% vs bookmaker-implied 82.0% — a clear edge.

+22.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.1%0-10.2%0-20.4%0-30.5%0-4+1.2%1 1-00.2%1-10.8%1-21.5%1-31.9%1-4+4.5%2 2-00.4%2-11.5%2-22.8%2-33.5%2-4+8.4%3 3-00.5%3-11.9%3-23.5%3-34.3%3-4+10.5%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-14.7%4+-28.7%4+-310.7%4+-4+25.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.9% 57.1% 1.75 -28.4%

Draw 19.4% 22.2% 4.50 -7.6%

Away win 39.7% 32.3% 3.10 +23.1%

Over 2.5 81.2% 83.3% 1.20 -2.6%

Over 3.5 69.0% 67.6% 1.48 +2.1%

BTTS 100.0% 82.0% 1.22 +22.0%

Home O1.5 88.7% 77.5% 1.29 +14.4%

Away O1.5 88.4% 57.8% 1.73 +52.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 80%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -14.4%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)3.7 xG (away)3.7 BTTS prob100.0%

H 41% / xG 3.7-3.7 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 100%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–3 4.3%

#2 4–3 4.0%

#3 3–4 4.0%

#4 4–4 3.7%

#5 3–2 3.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lokomotiv Oslo3.7

Valerenga B3.7

COMBINED 7.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 81.2% · O3.5 PROB 69.0%

Form & verdict PPG

LOKOMOTIV OSLO · PPG 1.00

VALERENGA B · PPG 0.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.25)

Win probability 1X2

Lokomotiv Oslo (H) 40.9%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -28.4%

Draw 19.4%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -7.6%

Valerenga B (A) 39.7%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +23.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lokomotiv Oslo face Valerenga B in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lokomotiv Oslo a 41% chance, the draw 19% and Valerenga B 40%, so Lokomotiv Oslo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.7 for Lokomotiv Oslo and 3.7 for Valerenga B (7.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-3. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 100% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lokomotiv Oslo are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.25 for Valerenga B. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +52.9%. This match finished 0-1.

Lokomotiv Oslo vs Valerenga B Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 Predictions