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Kattaqurgon vs Yaypan Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Regular Season - 11 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 15:00

Kattaqurgon

PPG 1.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

Yaypan

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.04 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.3%0-16.0%0-22.2%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-014.6%1-110.6%1-23.8%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.9%2-19.4%2-23.4%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-07.6%3-15.5%3-22.0%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-05.0%4+-13.6%4+-21.3%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.7% — — —

Draw 23.2% — — —

Away win 20.1% — — —

Over 2.5 50.0% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 53.5% — — —

Away O1.5 20.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 30%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.5%

H 57% / xG 1.8-0.7 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.6%

#2 2–0 12.9%

#3 1–1 10.6%

#4 0–0 8.3%

#5 2–1 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kattaqurgon1.8

Yaypan0.7

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KATTAQURGON · PPG 1.75

YAYPAN · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.04 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Kattaqurgon (H) 56.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Yaypan (A) 20.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kattaqurgon face Yaypan in Uzbekistan - Pro League A on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kattaqurgon a 57% chance, the draw 23% and Yaypan 20%, so Kattaqurgon are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Kattaqurgon and 0.7 for Yaypan (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kattaqurgon are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.00 for Yaypan.

Kattaqurgon vs Yaypan Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Match Preview & Prediction

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