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Respublika FA vs Jayxun Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Regular Season - 11 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 14:00

Respublika FA

PPG 1.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

Jayxun

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.85 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.6%0-17.7%0-22.3%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.4%1-111.2%1-23.4%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.5%2-18.2%2-22.5%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-06.6%3-14.0%3-21.2%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-12.0%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.6% — — —

Draw 26.4% — — —

Away win 20.0% — — —

Over 2.5 43.6% — — —

Over 3.5 23.0% — — —

BTTS 48.2% — — —

Home O1.5 46.3% — — —

Away O1.5 19.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.2%

H 54% / xG 1.5-0.6 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 18.4%

#2 0–0 12.6%

#3 2–0 13.5%

#4 1–1 11.2%

#5 2–1 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Respublika FA1.5

Jayxun0.6

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.6% · O3.5 PROB 23.0%

Form & verdict PPG

RESPUBLIKA FA · PPG 1.75

JAYXUN · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.85 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Respublika FA (H) 53.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Jayxun (A) 20.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Respublika FA face Jayxun in Uzbekistan - Pro League A on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Respublika FA a 54% chance, the draw 26% and Jayxun 20%, so Respublika FA are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Respublika FA and 0.6 for Jayxun (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Respublika FA are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.00 for Jayxun.

Respublika FA vs Jayxun Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Match Preview & Prediction

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