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Essendon Royals SC vs Altona City Prediction— Australia - Victoria Premier League 2

Regular Season - 23 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 10:30

Essendon Royals SC

PPG 2.18 · HOME

UPCOMING

Altona City

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-12.6%0-21.3%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-06.8%1-16.9%1-23.5%1-31.2%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.0%2-19.2%2-24.7%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.9%3-18.0%3-24.1%3-31.4%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-09.8%4+-110.0%4+-25.1%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.4% — — —

Draw 18.4% — — —

Away win 18.2% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 44.8% — — —

BTTS 61.7% — — —

Home O1.5 64.0% — — —

Away O1.5 31.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 86%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 68%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob61.7%

H 63% / xG 2.6-1.0 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.2%

#2 2–0 9.0%

#3 3–1 8.0%

#4 1–1 6.9%

#5 3–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Essendon Royals SC2.6

Altona City1.0

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ESSENDON ROYALS SC · PPG 2.18

ALTONA CITY · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.62 for Home, form 2.18 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Essendon Royals SC (H) 63.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Altona City (A) 18.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Essendon Royals SC face Altona City in Australia - Victoria Premier League 2 on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Essendon Royals SC a 63% chance, the draw 18% and Altona City 18%, so Essendon Royals SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Essendon Royals SC and 1.0 for Altona City (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Essendon Royals SC are averaging 2.18 points per game versus 1.00 for Altona City.

Essendon Royals SC vs Altona City Prediction— Australia - Victoria Premier League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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