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Goulburn Valley Suns vs Springvale Prediction— Australia - Victoria Premier League 2

Regular Season - 22 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 07:00

Goulburn Valley Suns logo
Goulburn Valley Suns
PPG 2.20 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Springvale logo
Springvale
PPG 1.10 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-12.4%0-21.2%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-06.6%1-16.6%1-23.2%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.0%2-18.9%2-24.4%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.2%3-18.1%3-24.0%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-010.9%4+-110.8%4+-25.3%4+-31.8%4+-4+0.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 66.6%
Draw 17.2%
Away win 16.2%
Over 2.5 67.0%
Over 3.5 44.5%
BTTS 55.4%
Home O1.5 63.3%
Away O1.5 29.3%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.4%

H 67% / xG 2.7-1.0 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 9.0%
#2 2–1 8.9%
#3 3–0 8.2%
#4 3–1 8.1%
#5 1–1 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Goulburn Valley Suns2.7
Springvale1.0

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.5%

Form & verdict PPG

GOULBURN VALLEY SUNS · PPG 2.20

SPRINGVALE · PPG 1.10

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.74 for Home, form 2.20 vs 1.10 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Goulburn Valley Suns (H) 66.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 17.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Springvale (A) 16.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Goulburn Valley Suns face Springvale in Australia - Victoria Premier League 2 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Goulburn Valley Suns a 67% chance, the draw 17% and Springvale 16%, so Goulburn Valley Suns are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Goulburn Valley Suns and 1.0 for Springvale (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Goulburn Valley Suns are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 1.10 for Springvale.

PredictVantage

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