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Nunawading vs Malvern Prediction— Australia - Victoria Premier League 2

Regular Season - 22 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 09:30

Nunawading

PPG 1.64 · HOME

UPCOMING

Malvern

PPG 2.27 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.87 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-111.8%0-210.6%0-36.4%0-4+4.3%1 1-06.1%1-110.9%1-29.8%1-35.9%1-4+4.0%2 2-02.8%2-15.1%2-24.6%2-32.7%2-4+1.9%3 3-00.9%3-11.6%3-21.4%3-30.8%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.4%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.6% — — —

Draw 25.5% — — —

Away win 52.0% — — —

Over 2.5 50.0% — — —

Over 3.5 29.1% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob52.3%

A 52% / xG 0.9-1.8 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 0–2 10.6%

#3 0–1 11.8%

#4 1–2 9.8%

#5 0–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nunawading0.9

Malvern1.8

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 29.1%

Form & verdict PPG

NUNAWADING · PPG 1.64

MALVERN · PPG 2.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.87 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Nunawading (H) 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Malvern (A) 52.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Nunawading face Malvern in Australia - Victoria Premier League 2 on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nunawading a 23% chance, the draw 26% and Malvern 52%, so Malvern are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Nunawading and 1.8 for Malvern (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nunawading are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 2.27 for Malvern.

Nunawading vs Malvern Prediction— Australia - Victoria Premier League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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