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Altona City vs Whittlesea United Prediction— Australia - Victoria Premier League 2

Regular Season - 22 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 08:15

Altona City

PPG 0.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Whittlesea United

PPG 1.09 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.4%0-115.9%0-210.1%0-34.3%0-4+1.8%1 1-010.0%1-112.8%1-28.2%1-33.5%1-4+1.5%2 2-04.1%2-15.2%2-23.3%2-31.4%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.1%3-11.4%3-20.9%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.6% — — —

Draw 28.2% — — —

Away win 48.2% — — —

Over 2.5 43.6% — — —

Over 3.5 23.4% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 37.5% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob48.5%

A 48% / xG 0.8-1.3 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 12.4%

#3 0–1 15.9%

#4 0–2 10.1%

#5 1–2 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Altona City0.8

Whittlesea United1.3

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.6% · O3.5 PROB 23.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ALTONA CITY · PPG 0.50

WHITTLESEA UNITED · PPG 1.09

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.47, combined xG 2.09 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Altona City (H) 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Whittlesea United (A) 48.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Altona City face Whittlesea United in Australia - Victoria Premier League 2 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Altona City a 24% chance, the draw 28% and Whittlesea United 48%, so Whittlesea United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Altona City and 1.3 for Whittlesea United (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Altona City are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.09 for Whittlesea United.

Altona City vs Whittlesea United Prediction— Australia - Victoria Premier League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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