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Olimpik-Mobiuz vs Qiziriq Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Regular Season - 11 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 15:00

Olimpik-Mobiuz

PPG 1.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Qiziriq

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-13.6%0-21.6%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-09.2%1-18.4%1-23.8%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.7%2-19.7%2-24.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.2%3-17.5%3-23.4%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-08.2%4+-17.4%4+-23.4%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.6% — — —

Draw 21.7% — — —

Away win 19.7% — — —

Over 2.5 63.7% — — —

Over 3.5 40.0% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 61.8% — — —

Away O1.5 24.7% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob55.4%

H 59% / xG 2.3-0.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.7%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 1–1 8.4%

#4 3–0 8.2%

#5 1–0 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Olimpik-Mobiuz2.3

Qiziriq0.9

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 40.0%

Form & verdict PPG

OLIMPIK-MOBIUZ · PPG 1.25

QIZIRIQ · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.40 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Olimpik-Mobiuz (H) 58.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Qiziriq (A) 19.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Olimpik-Mobiuz face Qiziriq in Uzbekistan - Pro League A on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Olimpik-Mobiuz a 59% chance, the draw 22% and Qiziriq 20%, so Olimpik-Mobiuz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Olimpik-Mobiuz and 0.9 for Qiziriq (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Olimpik-Mobiuz are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.67 for Qiziriq.

Olimpik-Mobiuz vs Qiziriq Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Match Preview & Prediction

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