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Shanghai Port II vs Tai'an Tiankuang Prediction— China - League Two

Regular Season - 18 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 08:30

Shanghai Port II

PPG 2.14 · HOME

UPCOMING

Tai'an Tiankuang

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.97 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.5%0-16.7%0-22.1%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-016.9%1-110.8%1-23.5%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.7%2-18.8%2-22.8%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-07.4%3-14.7%3-21.5%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-04.3%4+-12.7%4+-20.9%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.5% — — —

Draw 24.6% — — —

Away win 19.9% — — —

Over 2.5 50.0% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 53.5% — — —

Away O1.5 19.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 1.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.5%

H 56% / xG 1.6-0.6 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.9%

#2 2–0 13.7%

#3 1–1 10.8%

#4 0–0 10.5%

#5 2–1 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shanghai Port II1.6

Tai'an Tiankuang0.6

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SHANGHAI PORT II · PPG 2.14

TAI'AN TIANKUANG · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.97 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Shanghai Port II (H) 55.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tai'an Tiankuang (A) 19.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shanghai Port II face Tai'an Tiankuang in China - League Two on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shanghai Port II a 56% chance, the draw 25% and Tai'an Tiankuang 20%, so Shanghai Port II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Shanghai Port II and 0.6 for Tai'an Tiankuang (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shanghai Port II are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 1.29 for Tai'an Tiankuang.

Shanghai Port II vs Tai'an Tiankuang Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

More China - League Two Predictions