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Porz vs Fortuna Koln B Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 23 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 13:00

Porz

PPG 0.82 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Fortuna Koln B

PPG 1.91 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.4%0-11.6%0-23.5%0-35.0%0-4+17.5%1 1-00.5%1-12.1%1-24.4%1-36.4%1-4+22.3%2 2-00.3%2-11.3%2-22.8%2-34.1%2-4+14.2%3 3-00.1%3-10.6%3-21.2%3-31.7%3-4+6.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+2.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 5.7% — — —

Draw 7.7% — — —

Away win 86.6% — — —

Over 2.5 91.7% — — —

Over 3.5 80.8% — — —

BTTS 71.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 82%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)4.3 BTTS prob71.0%

A 87% / xG 1.3-4.3 / O2.5 92% / BTTS 71%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–4 6.9%

#2 1–3 6.4%

#3 1–5 5.9%

#4 0–4 5.4%

#5 0–3 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Porz1.3

Fortuna Koln B4.3

COMBINED 5.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 91.7% · O3.5 PROB 80.8%

Form & verdict PPG

PORZ · PPG 0.82

FORTUNA KOLN B · PPG 1.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.91) vs Home POOR (0.82)

Win probability 1X2

Porz (H) 5.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 7.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fortuna Koln B (A) 86.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Porz face Fortuna Koln B in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Porz a 6% chance, the draw 8% and Fortuna Koln B 87%, so Fortuna Koln B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Porz and 4.3 for Fortuna Koln B (5.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-4. There is a 92% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 71% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Porz are averaging 0.82 points per game versus 1.91 for Fortuna Koln B. This match finished 0-0.

Porz vs Fortuna Koln B Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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