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Bergisch G. vs Pesch Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 23 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 13:00

Bergisch G.

PPG 2.10 · HOME

7 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Pesch

PPG 0.18 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.10), Away POOR (0.18) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.2%0-10.2%0-20.1%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-01.1%1-10.9%1-20.3%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-03.1%2-12.4%2-20.9%2-30.2%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.5%3-14.3%3-21.7%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-036.2%4+-128.0%4+-210.8%4+-32.8%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 96.3% — — —

Draw 2.6% — — —

Away win 1.1% — — —

Over 2.5 94.4% — — —

Over 3.5 86.1% — — —

BTTS 53.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 7-0

xG (home)5.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob53.6%

H 96% / xG 5.4-0.8 / O2.5 94% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 5–0 8.0%

#2 4–0 7.4%

#3 5–1 6.2%

#4 4–1 5.7%

#5 3–0 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bergisch G.5.4

Pesch0.8

COMBINED 6.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 94.4% · O3.5 PROB 86.1%

Form & verdict PPG

BERGISCH G. · PPG 2.10

PESCH · PPG 0.18

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.10), Away POOR (0.18) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Bergisch G. (H) 96.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 2.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Pesch (A) 1.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bergisch G. face Pesch in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bergisch G. a 96% chance, the draw 3% and Pesch 1%, so Bergisch G. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 5.4 for Bergisch G. and 0.8 for Pesch (6.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 5-0. There is a 94% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bergisch G. are averaging 2.10 points per game versus 0.18 for Pesch. This match finished 7-0.

Bergisch G. vs Pesch Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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