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Boca Juniors Res. vs Belgrano Córdoba Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura - 1 ·Tuesday, July 28, 2026, 20:00

Boca Juniors Res.

PPG 2.27 · HOME

UPCOMING

Belgrano Córdoba Res.

PPG 1.11 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.97 for Home, form 2.27 vs 1.11 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-12.5%0-20.8%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-010.1%1-16.5%1-22.1%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.2%2-18.5%2-22.7%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.5%3-17.4%3-22.4%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-014.0%4+-19.0%4+-22.9%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 67.6% — — —

Draw 17.5% — — —

Away win 15.0% — — —

Over 2.5 63.0% — — —

Over 3.5 40.0% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 63.3% — — —

Away O1.5 19.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.5%

H 68% / xG 2.6-0.6 / O2.5 63% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.2%

#2 3–0 11.5%

#3 1–0 10.1%

#4 2–1 8.5%

#5 4–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Boca Juniors Res.2.6

Belgrano Córdoba Res.0.6

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.0% · O3.5 PROB 40.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BOCA JUNIORS RES. · PPG 2.27

BELGRANO CÓRDOBA RES. · PPG 1.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.97 for Home, form 2.27 vs 1.11 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Boca Juniors Res. (H) 67.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Belgrano Córdoba Res. (A) 15.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Boca Juniors Res. face Belgrano Córdoba Res. in Argentina - Reserve League on Tuesday, July 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Boca Juniors Res. a 68% chance, the draw 18% and Belgrano Córdoba Res. 15%, so Boca Juniors Res. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Boca Juniors Res. and 0.6 for Belgrano Córdoba Res. (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Boca Juniors Res. are averaging 2.27 points per game versus 1.11 for Belgrano Córdoba Res..

Boca Juniors Res. vs Belgrano Córdoba Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Match Preview & Prediction

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