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Rosenborg II vs Strindheim Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Regular Season - 13 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 14:00

Rosenborg II

PPG 2.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Strindheim

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-12.8%0-22.3%0-31.3%0-4+0.8%1 1-04.0%1-16.7%1-25.6%1-33.1%1-4+1.9%2 2-04.9%2-18.2%2-26.8%2-33.8%2-4+2.3%3 3-04.0%3-16.6%3-25.5%3-33.1%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-04.3%4+-17.2%4+-26.0%4+-33.3%4+-4+2.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.2% — — —

Draw 21.4% — — —

Away win 26.3% — — —

Over 2.5 70.5% — — —

Over 3.5 49.7% — — —

BTTS 69.5% — — —

Home O1.5 61.8% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 0.6%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 57%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob69.5%

H 52% / xG 2.4-1.7 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.2%

#2 1–1 6.7%

#3 2–2 6.8%

#4 3–1 6.6%

#5 1–2 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rosenborg II2.4

Strindheim1.7

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 70.5% · O3.5 PROB 49.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ROSENBORG II · PPG 2.17

STRINDHEIM · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.76 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Rosenborg II (H) 52.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Strindheim (A) 26.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rosenborg II face Strindheim in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rosenborg II a 52% chance, the draw 21% and Strindheim 26%, so Rosenborg II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Rosenborg II and 1.7 for Strindheim (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rosenborg II are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 1.33 for Strindheim.

Rosenborg II vs Strindheim Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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