Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 / Melhus vs Molde B

Melhus vs Molde B Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Regular Season - 9 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 13:00

Melhus

PPG 1.67 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Molde B

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.2%0-10.3%0-20.3%0-30.2%0-4+0.2%1 1-00.7%1-11.4%1-21.5%1-31.1%1-4+1.0%2 2-01.4%2-13.1%2-23.3%2-32.4%2-4+2.1%3 3-02.1%3-14.4%3-24.8%3-33.4%3-4+3.0%4+ 4+-07.4%4+-115.9%4+-217.0%4+-312.2%4+-4+10.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.3% — — —

Draw 19.1% — — —

Away win 21.6% — — —

Over 2.5 80.0% — — —

Over 3.5 60.8% — — —

BTTS 65.9% — — —

Home O1.5 93.1% — — —

Away O1.5 63.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 0.6%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)4.3 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob65.9%

H 59% / xG 4.3-2.1 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–2 5.2%

#2 4–1 4.8%

#3 3–2 4.8%

#4 5–2 4.5%

#5 3–1 4.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Melhus4.3

Molde B2.1

COMBINED 6.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.0% · O3.5 PROB 60.8%

Form & verdict PPG

MELHUS · PPG 1.67

MOLDE B · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Melhus (H) 59.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Molde B (A) 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Melhus face Molde B in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Melhus a 59% chance, the draw 19% and Molde B 22%, so Melhus are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.3 for Melhus and 2.1 for Molde B (6.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-2. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Melhus are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.00 for Molde B. This match finished 3-0.

Melhus vs Molde B Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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