Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 / Aalesund B vs Strindheim

Aalesund B vs Strindheim Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Regular Season - 9 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 14:00

Aalesund B

PPG 0.00 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

Strindheim

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 94.4% vs bookmaker-implied 79.4% — a clear edge.

+18.9% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.1%0-10.5%0-21.2%0-31.9%0-4+7.7%1 1-00.2%1-11.1%1-22.6%1-34.0%1-4+16.7%2 2-00.3%2-11.2%2-22.9%2-34.4%2-4+18.1%3 3-00.2%3-10.9%3-22.1%3-33.2%3-4+13.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.8%4+-21.9%4+-32.9%4+-4+11.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.4% 29.4% 3.40 -32.7%

Draw 20.3% 21.1% 4.75 -2.1%

Away win 66.2% 60.6% 1.65 +9.2%

Over 2.5 80.0% 83.3% 1.20 -4.0%

Over 3.5 69.0% 62.9% 1.59 +9.7%

BTTS 65.9% 78.7% 1.27 -16.3%

Home O1.5 63.9% 50.3% 1.99 +27.2%

Away O1.5 94.4% 79.4% 1.26 +18.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 0.6%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)4.6 BTTS prob65.9%

A 66% / xG 2.2-4.6 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–4 5.0%

#2 1–4 4.6%

#3 2–5 4.6%

#4 2–3 4.4%

#5 1–5 4.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Aalesund B2.2

Strindheim4.6

COMBINED 6.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.0% · O3.5 PROB 69.0%

Form & verdict PPG

AALESUND B · PPG 0.00

STRINDHEIM · PPG 1.25

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Aalesund B (H) 13.4%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -32.7%

Draw 20.3%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV -2.1%

Strindheim (A) 66.2%

ODDS 1.65 · IMPLIED 60.6% EV +9.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Aalesund B face Strindheim in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Aalesund B a 13% chance, the draw 20% and Strindheim 66%, so Strindheim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Aalesund B and 4.6 for Strindheim (6.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-4. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Aalesund B are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 1.25 for Strindheim. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +27.2%. This match finished 3-2.

Aalesund B vs Strindheim Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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