Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 / Kvik Trondheim vs Orkla

Kvik Trondheim vs Orkla Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Regular Season - 9 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 12:00

Kvik Trondheim

PPG 1.50 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Orkla

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-11.8%0-21.4%0-30.8%0-4+0.5%1 1-03.1%1-15.1%1-24.2%1-32.3%1-4+1.4%2 2-04.5%2-17.3%2-26.1%2-33.3%2-4+2.0%3 3-04.3%3-17.1%3-25.8%3-33.2%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-06.3%4+-110.5%4+-28.6%4+-34.7%4+-4+2.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.6% — — —

Draw 21.0% — — —

Away win 23.4% — — —

Over 2.5 72.7% — — —

Over 3.5 54.6% — — —

BTTS 63.4% — — —

Home O1.5 78.5% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 0.6%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 64%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.4%

H 56% / xG 2.9-1.6 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.3%

#2 3–1 7.1%

#3 2–2 6.1%

#4 3–2 5.8%

#5 1–1✓ 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kvik Trondheim2.9

Orkla1.6

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

KVIK TRONDHEIM · PPG 1.50

ORKLA · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Kvik Trondheim (H) 55.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Orkla (A) 23.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kvik Trondheim face Orkla in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kvik Trondheim a 56% chance, the draw 21% and Orkla 23%, so Kvik Trondheim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Kvik Trondheim and 1.6 for Orkla (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kvik Trondheim are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.00 for Orkla. This match finished 1-1.

Kvik Trondheim vs Orkla Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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