Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 / Molde II vs Byåsen

Molde II vs Byåsen Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 13:00

Molde II

PPG 1.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Byåsen

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.4%0-11.1%0-21.3%0-31.0%0-4+1.1%1 1-01.3%1-13.2%1-23.9%1-33.1%1-4+3.4%2 2-02.0%2-14.8%2-25.8%2-34.7%2-4+5.1%3 3-02.0%3-14.8%3-25.8%3-34.7%3-4+5.1%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-17.6%4+-29.2%4+-37.5%4+-4+8.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.8% — — —

Draw 19.2% — — —

Away win 30.0% — — —

Over 2.5 79.6% — — —

Over 3.5 60.9% — — —

BTTS 70.2% — — —

Home O1.5 77.3% — — —

Away O1.5 67.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 0.6%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 62%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob70.2%

H 51% / xG 3.0-2.4 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–2 5.8%

#2 2–2 5.8%

#3 3–1 4.8%

#4 2–1 4.8%

#5 3–3 4.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Molde II3.0

Byåsen2.4

COMBINED 5.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.6% · O3.5 PROB 60.9%

Form & verdict PPG

MOLDE II · PPG 1.60

BYÅSEN · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.57 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Molde II (H) 50.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Byåsen (A) 30.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Molde II face Byåsen in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Molde II a 51% chance, the draw 19% and Byåsen 30%, so Molde II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Molde II and 2.4 for Byåsen (5.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-2. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Molde II are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.17 for Byåsen.

Molde II vs Byåsen Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 Predictions