Today / USA - MLS Next Pro / St. Louis City II vs Vancouver Whitecaps II

St. Louis City II vs Vancouver Whitecaps II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Group Stage ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 23:00

St. Louis City II logo
St. Louis City II
PPG 1.56 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Vancouver Whitecaps II logo
Vancouver Whitecaps II
PPG 0.11 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-12.8%0-21.5%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-06.6%1-17.1%1-23.9%1-31.4%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.5%2-19.2%2-25.0%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-07.3%3-18.0%3-24.3%3-31.6%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-08.8%4+-19.6%4+-25.2%4+-31.9%4+-4+0.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 58.8%
Draw 21.4%
Away win 19.8%
Over 2.5 63.7%
Over 3.5 42.1%
BTTS 60.7%
Home O1.5 63.3%
Away O1.5 36.4%

League track record

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%
O2.5 75%
BTTS 0%
Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob60.7%

H 59% / xG 2.6-1.1 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.2%
#2 2–0 8.5%
#3 1–1 7.1%
#4 3–1 8.0%
#5 3–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

St. Louis City II2.6
Vancouver Whitecaps II1.1

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 42.1%

Form & verdict PPG

ST. LOUIS CITY II · PPG 1.56

VANCOUVER WHITECAPS II · PPG 0.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.50 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

St. Louis City II (H) 58.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Vancouver Whitecaps II (A) 19.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

St. Louis City II face Vancouver Whitecaps II in USA - MLS Next Pro on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives St. Louis City II a 59% chance, the draw 21% and Vancouver Whitecaps II 20%, so St. Louis City II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for St. Louis City II and 1.1 for Vancouver Whitecaps II (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, St. Louis City II are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 0.11 for Vancouver Whitecaps II.

PredictVantage

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