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Houston Dynamo FC II vs Austin II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Group Stage ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 23:00

Houston Dynamo FC II

PPG 3.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Austin II

PPG 2.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.49 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.0%0-18.2%0-24.1%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-012.1%1-112.3%1-26.2%1-32.1%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.1%2-19.3%2-24.7%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-04.6%3-14.6%3-22.4%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-12.4%4+-21.2%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.2% — — —

Draw 25.2% — — —

Away win 27.6% — — —

Over 2.5 53.8% — — —

Over 3.5 32.8% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 46.3% — — —

Away O1.5 31.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 0%

Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.4%

H 47% / xG 1.5-1.0 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 1–0 12.1%

#3 0–0 8.0%

#4 2–1 9.3%

#5 2–0 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Houston Dynamo FC II1.5

Austin II1.0

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 32.8%

Form & verdict PPG

HOUSTON DYNAMO FC II · PPG 3.00

AUSTIN II · PPG 2.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.49 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Houston Dynamo FC II (H) 47.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Austin II (A) 27.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Houston Dynamo FC II face Austin II in USA - MLS Next Pro on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Houston Dynamo FC II a 47% chance, the draw 25% and Austin II 28%, so Houston Dynamo FC II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Houston Dynamo FC II and 1.0 for Austin II (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Houston Dynamo FC II are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 2.75 for Austin II.

Houston Dynamo FC II vs Austin II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

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