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Inter Miami II vs Toronto II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Group Stage ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 21:00

Inter Miami II logo
Inter Miami II
PPG 0.33 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Toronto II logo
Toronto II
PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-17.8%0-27.3%0-34.6%0-4+3.3%1 1-05.4%1-110.1%1-29.5%1-36.0%1-4+4.3%2 2-03.5%2-16.6%2-26.2%2-33.9%2-4+2.8%3 3-01.5%3-12.9%3-22.7%3-31.7%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.3%4+-21.2%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 32.3%
Draw 23.2%
Away win 44.6%
Over 2.5 63.7%
Over 3.5 40.0%
BTTS 62.5%
Home O1.5 38.5%
Away O1.5 49.0%

League track record

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%
O2.5 75%
BTTS 0%
Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 45%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob62.5%

A 45% / xG 1.3-1.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%
#2 1–2 9.5%
#3 0–2 7.3%
#4 2–1 6.6%
#5 0–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inter Miami II1.3
Toronto II1.9

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 40.0%

Form & verdict PPG

INTER MIAMI II · PPG 0.33

TORONTO II · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

xG gap -0.58 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Inter Miami II (H) 32.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Toronto II (A) 44.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Inter Miami II face Toronto II in USA - MLS Next Pro on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inter Miami II a 32% chance, the draw 23% and Toronto II 45%, so Toronto II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Inter Miami II and 1.9 for Toronto II (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inter Miami II are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 0.80 for Toronto II.

PredictVantage

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