Everton vs Liverpool Prediction & Tips

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England - Premier League Regular Season - 33 Hill Dickinson Stadium· Liverpool Sunday, April 19, 2026 13:00

Everton PPG 1.38

1-2 HIT CS5

Liverpool PPG 1.31

Home· +27.6% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 40.5%

Odds: 3.15 EV: +27.6%

Draw 25.4%

Odds: 3.35 EV: -14.9%

Away 34.2%

Odds: 2.20 EV: -24.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.3% Odds: 1.83 -4.3%

Over 3.5 30.1% Odds: 3.10 -6.7%

BTTS 56.1% Odds: 1.65 -7.4%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 1-2 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Everton

1.45

Liverpool

1.31

Model SuggestionBTTS -7.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+27.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.38), Away AVERAGE (1.31)